Israeli-Palestinian Reconciliation: Charting a Path Forwards

In October 2023, Israel launched a full-blown military invasion of the Gaza Strip.

The following essay was originally submitted as an assignment for my university and was graded as a 2:1.


The biggest obstacle to Israeli-Palestinian reconciliation is Israel’s siege mentality. To illustrate this, I utilise the spiral model to demonstrate how Israel’s security policies have contributed to the socio-economic deprivation and radicalisation of Palestinians, precipitating the very conditions allowing the conflict to persist. Following this, I argue Israel’s aggressive security policies are primarily informed by a collective siege mentality embedded in Israeli nationalism. Therefore, any genuine attempt at reconciliation requires tackling Israeli society’s collective siege mentality, softening Israel’s security policies, and alleviating the suffering of the Palestinian people.


Israel, Palestine and the Spiral Model

According to the spiral model, conflicts occur when one side punishes another with the false expectation it will elicit better behaviour. On the contrary, such punishment only provokes a violent reaction from the other side. Believing its initial punishment to have been too mild, the first side responds with more punishment, causing the other side to become even more belligerent in return. Thus, a cycle of perpetual punishment is born, forcing both sides to spiral into intense conflict. Therefore, the spiral model implies the best way to avoid conflict is through appeasement. In other words, ‘carrots’ rather than ‘sticks’ (Jervis, 1976, pp. 62-67).

By applying the spiral model to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, it becomes clear Israel’s actions against Palestine have only served to exacerbate the conflict rather than solve it. For instance, Israel has carried out regular offensive military operations in the Gaza Strip to punish Palestinian militants, notably Hamas, with the false expectation it would end Palestinian militancy (Filiu, 2014). Instead, these military operations had the opposite effect. Following the 2008-2009 Gaza War, Palestinian militant activity intensified, eventually leading to the 2014 Gaza War and the current 2023 Israel-Hamas War.

Each of these wars has been deadlier than the last. During the 2008-2009 Gaza War, there were 1,400 fatalities, of whom 1,387 were Palestinians and 13 were Israelis (B’Tselem, 2009). During the 2014 Gaza War, there were 2,202 fatalities, of whom 2,131 were Palestinians and 71 were Israelis (OCHA, 2014). So far, during the ongoing 2023 Israel-Hamas War, there have been an unprecedented 16,415 fatalities, of whom 15,083 were Palestinians and 1,332 were Israelis (WHO, 2023). This exponential increase in fatalities indicates Israel’s disproportionate military responses have contributed to a cycle of perpetual punishment, which only serves to push both sides further away from reconciliation.

In a similar vein to the Gaza Strip, the presence of Israeli security forces in Jerusalem has also contributed to the perpetuation of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Since the beginning of the conflict, Jerusalem has been a source of major contention on account of its religious significance to the three major Abrahamic traditions (Klein, 2022). In particular, Al-Aqsa, the third holiest site in Islam, has increasingly become the de-facto focal point of the conflict following annual clashes between Israeli security forces and Palestinian worshippers.

Beginning in May 2021, Israeli security forces stormed Al-Aqsa Mosque in response to growing dissent surrounding the Sheikh Jarrah evictions, with the false expectation it would quell Palestinian resistance. Instead, the provocation escalated the conflict, prompting Hamas to fire rockets into Israel in response (Holmes & Beaumont, 2021). A year later, in April 2022, Israeli security forces stormed the Al-Aqsa Mosque a second time to apprehend Palestinian protestors who had barricaded themselves inside (Kingsley & Abdulrahim, 2022). In April 2023, Israeli security forces stormed the Al-Aqsa Mosque for a third time, eliciting violent responses from Palestinian militants based in Gaza and Southern Lebanon (Al-Jazeera, 2023; Debre & Akram, 2023)

This continual harassment of Palestinian worshippers at one of Islam’s holiest sites during the holy month of Ramadan has not only aggravated Palestinians but Muslims the world over. Given the conflict’s significant religious dimension, such escalations by Israeli security forces pose a considerable obstacle to Israeli-Palestinian reconciliation, contributing to the ongoing cycle of perpetual punishment (Kronish, 2022). This is illustrated by Hamas’ reference to the desecration of the Al-Aqsa as the primary justification behind the October 7th Attack (Nakhoul & Bassam, 2023). Thus highlighting how a false expectation that punishment elicits better behaviour can lead to intense conflict.

Much like Jerusalem, Israel’s security presence in the West Bank also poses an obstacle to Israeli-Palestinian reconciliation. Since the 1967 Six-Day War, Israel’s occupation of the West Bank has become another major source of contention due to the expansion of illegal Israeli settlements (Handel, et al., 2022). Today, there are a total of 290 Israeli settlements and 465,400 Israeli settlers in the West Bank (Peace Now, 2023). The increasing settler presence has inevitably led to hostilities with the local Palestinian population, prompting Israel to implement increasingly stringent security measures.

Following the 1967 Six-Day War, Israel began building illegal settlements in the occupied Palestinian territories, leading to the outbreak of the First Intifada in 1987. During the 1990s, Israel responded to the growing violence by building a system of checkpoints to separate Israelis and Palestinians, with the false expectation such measures would elicit better behaviour from the Palestinians (Berda, 2017). In reality, the checkpoints further aggravated the Palestinians by easing the movement of Israelis between the settlements and Israel proper while simultaneously restricting the movement of Palestinians within the West Bank (Handel, 2014).

After the 1995 Oslo II Accord, the majority of the West Bank fell under Israeli security control, allowing Israel to continue its settlement project unhindered, leading to the outbreak of the Second Intifada in 2000. This prompted Israel to implement even stricter security measures, including the construction of its infamous separation barrier within Palestinian territory, aggravating Palestinians even more (Falke, 2013). In recent years, standoffs between Israeli security forces and Palestinians in the West Bank have become a daily occurrence, contributing to the cycle of perpetual punishment, driving both sides further from reconciliation.

All-in-all, Israel’s aggressive security policies have contributed to the socio-economic deprivation of Palestinians. For instance, Israel’s blockade of the Gaza Strip, coupled with the devastation wrought during its military incursions, resulted in a poverty rate of 61% in 2020 (World Bank, 2022). Similarly, Israel’s increasing settler presence in Jerusalem and the West Bank, coupled with the rampant restrictions on Palestinians, has contributed to feelings of injustice and inequality. This is best illustrated by the disparity between both sides’ Human Development Index (HDI) scores. Palestine’s HDI stood at 0.715 in 2021 and is projected to drop to as low as 0.674 by the end of the 2023 Israel-Hamas War (UNDP, 2023, pp. 8-10). Compare this to Israel’s HDI of 0.919 in 2021, and it is clear there exists a blatant socio-economic inequality brought about by security policies favouring Israelis at the expense of Palestinians (UNDP, 2022).

It is well documented that poor socio-economic conditions and feelings of perceived injustice are the perfect breeding ground for radicalisation, allowing militant groups like Hamas to increase their influence (Horgan, 2003) (Newman, 2006, p. 764). Thus, by responding to Palestinian belligerence with punishments which further the socio-economic deprivation of Palestinians, Israel is contributing to the very phenomenon it wishes to solve. This again illustrates how punishment leads to intense conflict, pushing both sides further from reconciliation.

By viewing the Israeli-Palestinian conflict through the lens of the spiral model, it is clear punishment has not served reconciliation. Contrast this to the Arab-Israeli conflict, where Israel followed a policy of gradual normalisation, and it becomes apparent the road to reconciliation lies with appeasement (Barakat, 2023). For instance, following Egypt’s surprise attack on Israel during the 1973 Yom Kippur War, Israel agreed to establish a buffer zone under the 1974 Sinai I Agreement despite winning more territorial gains than it had during the 1967 Six-Day War. This led to the 1975 Sinai II Agreement, eventually snowballing into the 1979 Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty. Similarly, appeasing the Palestinians with the 1993 Oslo I Accord opened the doors for the 1994 Israel-Jordan Peace Treaty. Unfortunately, the outbreak of the Second Intifada, in response to Israel’s growing settler presence, put a premature end to Israeli-Palestinian reconciliation.

By appeasing the Arab states, Israel was able to guarantee secure borders with Egypt and Jordan. Had Israel applied the same process of gradual appeasement with the Palestinians following the Second Intifada without radicalising them through their aggressive punishments, then perhaps Hamas wouldn’t have gained power in the Gaza Strip. This, in turn, would have avoided the last two decades of conflict.


Israel’s Siege Mentality

The spiral model demonstrates how the Israeli-Palestinian conflict has been perpetuated by Israel’s false perception that punishment, in the form of aggressive security policies, will illicit better behaviour from belligerent Palestinians. Building on this, spiral theorists posit such false perception results from collective psychological processes (Jervis, 1976, pp. 67-76). In the case of Israel, the false perception is primarily informed by a collective siege mentality embedded in Israeli nationalism.

The term ‘siege mentality’ refers to “the mental state in which members of a group hold a central belief that the rest of the world has highly negative behavioural intentions toward them” (Bar-Tal & Antebi, 1992, p. 251). Shaped by historical traumas, notably the Holocaust and 1973 Yom Kippur War, and now the recent October 7th Attack, the Jewish nation has long perceived itself to be constantly under threat from the wider world. This entrenched belief has since become a cornerstone of Israeli nationalism, fuelling a narrative prioritising unwavering strength and stringent security measures as essential for survival (Klar, et al., 2013). Thereby framing Israel’s military operations in the Gaza Strip and increasing security presence in Jerusalem and the West Bank as necessary measures to protect against the existential threat posed by Palestinian belligerency. This, in turn, feeds the false perception punishment works better than appeasement.

Lasting peace ultimately lies in Israel overcoming its collective siege mentality, making it the biggest obstacle to Israeli-Palestinian reconciliation. Doing so will precipitate a shift from punishment to appeasement, ending the spiral into perpetual violence. While overcoming Israel’s siege mentality will be difficult, the outcome of the Arab-Israeli conflict proves it is not impossible (Barakat, 2023). It was Israel’s siege mentality and fear of vulnerability which drove it to carry out its pre-emptive strikes against Egypt during the 1967 Six-Day War. Twelve years later, Israel signed a peace treaty with Egypt.

In the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the significant power asymmetry between Israel and Palestine has profound implications for reconciliation. As the more dominant party, Israel holds a considerable advantage in terms of military strength, economic resources, and political influence. The lack of institutional power on the Palestinian side, compounded by the socio-economic deprivation resulting from prolonged conflict, places them in a vulnerable position. The power disparity becomes particularly evident in negotiations, where Israel’s advantageous position allows it to dictate the terms and pace of the peace process (Ramsbotham, 2022).

Given this power imbalance, the onus for driving meaningful progress towards reconciliation falls heavily on Israel. As the more powerful actor, Israel can implement substantial changes in its security policies to create a fairer socio-economic environment for Palestinians. It is incumbent upon Israel to proactively seek avenues for de-escalation, initiate confidence-building measures, and address the underlying grievances fuelling Palestinian discontent. By taking the initiative in softening its security policies, Israel has the potential to set the stage for genuine reconciliation, paving the way for a more stable and peaceful coexistence with Palestine.


Conclusion

In conclusion, the spiral model demonstrates the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is the result of Israel’s false expectation that punishment will elicit better behaviour from the Palestinians. Examples from the Gaza Strip, Jerusalem, and the West Bank demonstrate how Israel’s aggressive security policies have exacerbated tensions and driven both sides further away from reconciliation. The socio-economic deprivation resulting from these policies has led to the radicalisation of Palestinian society, creating the very conditions allowing the conflict to persist. Therefore, a shift towards appeasement, as seen with the Arab-Israeli Conflict, is crucial for achieving lasting reconciliation and avoiding prolonged conflict.

Building on this, Israel’s siege mentality stands out as the biggest obstacle to Israeli-Palestinian reconciliation for being the primary causal factor for Israel’s aggressive security. Overcoming Israel’s siege mentality will inevitably lead to a shift from punishment to appeasement that softens Israel’s security policies and alleviates the suffering of the Palestinian people. Furthermore, the inherent power imbalance of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict places responsibility on Israel to initiate peace, address grievances, and foster trust, highlighting the moral imperative for the stronger party to lead towards genuine reconciliation.


References

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Preventing Terrorism: Retracing the Rise of Islamist Terror and Assessing the UK’s Prevent Programme

Islamic State’s tactics were so brutal that it was disowned by Al-Qaeda.

The following essay was originally submitted as an assignment for my university and was graded as a first-class essay.


Since the 7/7 Bombings, Islamist terror has posed an ever-lingering threat in the minds of the British public, becoming a mainstay on the policymaking agenda. At the very heart of the UK’s counter-terrorism strategy lies the controversial Prevent programme, which has long stood accused of transforming “nurseries, schools, universities, hospitals, and other key sites of social welfare into sites of discrimination, racism and exclusion” (Amnesty International UK, 2023). With the release of the long-awaited Shawcross review once again sparking debate about the ethicality and effectiveness of Britain’s Prevent programme, the question must be asked: do policymakers really understand Islamist terror and the best way to counter it?

In this essay, I comprehensively analyse Islamist terror and critically assess Prevent to highlight how misconceptions about terrorism have contributed to flawed policy delivery. In the first section, I introduce the concept of Islamist terror with a brief overview of its historical origins. In the second section, I discuss the prevailing theory of terrorism and the ideological underpinnings of Islamism via the case studies of Al-Qaeda and Islamic State to uncover the primary cause of Islamist terror: ideology. In the third section, I outline Prevent’s operational framework, outlining how it falls short of sufficiently addressing the problem of radicalisation. In the final section, I conclude with a recap of the main arguments made in sections one through three.


Introducing Islamist Terror

The UN minimally defines terrorism as the coercion of populations or governments via violent criminal acts that provoke a sense of terror, such as bombing and hostage-taking (UN Security Council, 2004). In particular, Islamist terror can be defined as terrorism carried out by organisations and individuals primarily motivated by varying interpretations of Islamic political principles or by Muslim religious and communal identity generally referred to as Islamism (Piazza, 2009). Regarding methodology, Islamist groups employ various tactics, from kidnappings to executions. That said, none is more closely associated with Islamist terror than the notorious suicide attack (Choi & Brown, 2022). In terms of distribution, most terror attacks occur in Muslim-majority countries. In 2022, 80% of all terror-related deaths occurred in Burkina Faso, Mali, Somalia, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Syria, Nigeria, Niger and Iraq (Institute for Economics & Peace, 2023, p. 14).

The historical origin of Islamist terror is subject to considerable debate, and due to its proximity to a major world religion, discussions are inevitably shrouded in religious polemics. Critics of Islam often claim that terrorism is intrinsically linked to and has been a feature of the religion from its inception, citing the early Kharijites as the first manifestation of Islamic extremism (Warraq, 2017). Some go even further, perpetuating the absurd idea that the “world of Islam” invented modern terrorism by paradoxically referring to the medieval Order of Assassins based in 10th-century Persia (McAlister, 2005, p. 219). However, when one considers the excess of violence and terrorism committed by all sorts of religious groups, from the 1st-century Jewish Sicarii Zealots to the contemporary Hindu Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS), the baselessness of such claims becomes immediately apparent. And while it is true that violence has indeed played a part in Islamicate history – just like it has in the rest of human history – Islamist terror is only a relatively recent phenomenon.

One of the first major instances of modern Islamist terror – terrorism primarily motivated by Islamism as opposed to other ideologies – was the 1981 Assassination of Egyptian President Anwar Sadat. Sadat’s regime sought to modernise Egypt by normalising relations with Israel and the West via his Infitah policy, alienating those segments of society who viewed Sadat’s regime as promoting anti-Islamic principles, eventually prompting Egyptian Islamic Jihad member Khalid al-Islambouli to take matters into his own hands assassinating Sadat in full view of the public during Egypt’s annual victory parade. The event came to symbolise the culmination of decades of growing Islamist sentiment in Egypt and beyond (Gerges, 2018, pp. 314-342).

In the decades following Sadat’s assassination, Islamist sentiment continued to grow, particularly during the Soviet-Afghan War, which saw the emergence of Al-Qaeda from the Western-backed Afghan Mujahideen. In 2001, Al-Qaeda carried out its infamous 9/11 Attacks prompting the US to launch its international War on Terror. The following two decades saw the devastating Iraq War, the Arab Spring, the rise and fall of Islamic State, and the Taliban’s successful insurgency in Afghanistan. During the height of the War on Terror, four Islamist groups – Islamic State, Boko Haram, the Taliban and Al-Qaeda – were responsible for 74% of all terror-related deaths in 2015, marking Islamist terror as one of the most deadliest forms of terrorism in recent history (Institute for Economics & Peace, 2016, p. 4).


Analysing Islamist Terror

Terrorism as a phenomenon is best explained using David Rapoport’s famous Wave Theory, which asserts that modern terrorism consists of four consecutive waves: anarchist, nationalist, new left, and religious (Rapoport, 2004). Each of the four waves of terrorism is unique in its own right but can broadly be divided into what scholars term ‘old’ and ‘new’ terrorism, with the first three waves coinciding with the former and the fourth wave coinciding with the latter. The old terrorism of the first three waves is characterised by well-defined political goals and carefully calibrated violence aimed at attracting popular support. Think of the Irish Republican Army or the Indian Naxalites. Meanwhile, the new terrorism of the fourth wave does not care for popular support but rather seeks to wrought unspeakable carnage in the name of religion. “It is the anti-order of the new world order of the twenty-first century” (Juergensmeyer, 2000, p. 158). In addition to the original four waves, a growing number of scholars have begun sharing their predictions about the possible nature of a fifth wave, with ideas ranging from lone cyber terrorists to terrorist semi-states (Kaplan, 2008) (Auger, 2020). However, for the purposes of this essay, I will be focusing on the regnant religious wave.

According to Rapoport, “Islam is at the heart of the wave” (Rapoport, 2013, p. 295). Labelling a world religion responsible for an entire generation of terrorism is problematic for obvious reasons. Theory inevitably influences practice, and – as I demonstrate in the next section – such a theory can have regrettable consequences. But not only that, as Rapoport is well aware, Muslims are not the only perpetrators of religious terror. The 1992 Babri Masjid Demolition, 1994 Hebron Massacre, and 1995 Tokyo Subway Sarin Attack are a few examples that spring to mind. Furthermore, it is important to note that religious terror is not caused by religion alone but rather a coalescence of political, social, and ideological circumstances couched in religious rhetoric (Juergensmeyer, 2004, p. 10). That said, there is no denying the prominence of Islamist terror as the prevailing form of terrorism over the previous four decades. Thus, I consider Rapoport’s problematic observation a simple case of poor word choice; ‘Islam’, the religion, may not be at the heart of the wave, but ‘Islamism’, the political ideology that precipitates ‘Islamist’ terror, most certainly is.

This begs the question: how do we address Islamist terror? To answer, we must first understand the general causal factors of terrorism. Broadly speaking, there are three main categories of factors that contribute to modern terrorism: socio-economic factors, psychological factors, and ideological factors (Wojciechowski, 2017, pp. 63-66).

For terrorism to take root, certain permissive socio-economic conditions, such as poverty and unemployment, must exist to generate and intensify radical attitudes (Newman, 2006, p. 764). Globalisation stands out as a particularly significant factor, as it threatens local societal norms and economic standing, leading to intercultural conflict, especially in the global south (Stevens, 2002). As it stands, less-developed countries experience the greatest threat from terrorist activity (Institute for Economics & Peace, 2023, pp. 20-30). Furthermore, terrorist organisations often rely on international markets and foreign regimes for financial backing. For instance, the Taliban generates funding by cultivating and exporting opium (Clarke, 2015, pp. 113-133).

Radical attitudes often occur in individuals exhibiting specific psychological processes, such as hatred, prejudice, injustice and trauma (Horgan, 2003). This is evidenced by the prevalence of ‘us-versus-them’ narratives found in all manner of terrorist movements and individual actors. For example, the murderers of British soldier Lee Rigby were motivated by feelings of injustice and hatred towards the West. Another shared characteristic among terrorist groups is the belief that ‘the cause’ takes precedence over everything, including one’s own life, leading terrorists to engage in destructive and violent activities. Nowhere is this more pronounced than in the case of Islamist terror and its glorification of martyrdom (Moghadam, 2008).

At the heart of every terrorist movement lies an ideology that channels radical attitudes, legitimising violence as a valid means to enact its goals. In the case of Islamist terror, this ideology is Islamism which emerged as a response to encroaching European influence over the Islamicate world following the abolishment of the Ottoman caliphate in 1924. Early Islamists sought to define Islam as a political system to counterweight other major ideologies of the time and legitimised their new vision by proclaiming a return to the true teachings of the Qur’an and Sunnah (Roy, 1994, p. 35). However, Islam is not a monolith, and there are nearly as many interpretations of the Qur’an and Sunnah as there are Muslims, as reflected by the multitude of militant and non-militant political movements that fall under the umbrella of Islamism, each with different ideas about what Islamic governance should look like. This has led some to accuse the terms ‘Islamism’ and ‘Islamist’ of being too wide and flexible to be considered useful (Valbjørn, 2017).

Nevertheless, the numerous Islamist movements can be broadly grouped into three streams: electoral, authoritarian and revolutionary (Gaub, 2014). As typified by groups such as the Muslim Brotherhood and Jamaat-e-Islami, electoral Islamism calls for society’s gradual and progressive re-Islamisation and the establishment of Islamic governance via participation in existing political structures. On the other hand, authoritarian Islamism refers to existing regimes that frame themselves as legitimate Islamic governments, imposing their specific brand of Islamic theology on domestic and foreign populations, such as Saudi Arabia’s Wahhabi doctrine. Meanwhile, revolutionary Islamism – the object of this analysis – asserts that existing political structures must be violently overthrown to establish proper Islamic governance. Despite these differences, the three streams are not discrete, and movements may shift from one stream to another, as was the case during the 1979 Iranian Revolution when Ruhollah Khomeini’s revolutionary Islamist movement overthrew the Iranian Shahdom and established a new theocratic authoritarian regime.

The beginnings of revolutionary Islamism can be traced to the ideas of Sayyid Qutb, a leading member of the Muslim Brotherhood during the 1950s and 1960s, who felt that the group’s gradual and progressive approach wasn’t conducive to the establishment of proper Islamic governance. In the preface to his seminal work Ma’alim fi al-TariqMilestones in English – Qutb claims that the entire world, both Muslim and non-Muslim, has reverted to a state of Jahiliyyah, meaning godless ignorance embodied by capitalist and communist systems. If Jahiliyyah is the disease, then, according to Qutb, violent Jihad, meaning struggle against the enemies of Islam and their structures of Jahiliyyah, is the cure. He identifies two such enemies of Islam: the near enemy, Muslims that have supposedly strayed from Islamic teachings, and the far enemy, non-Muslims that perpetuate anti-Islamic lifestyles (Qutb, 1964). Following his execution in 1966, Qutb’s revolutionary framework has gone on to influence every major Islamist terror group, both Sunni and Shia (Belt, 2006).

Having understood Islamism’s ideological underpinnings, we must now turn our attention to the terror groups that digest its teachings. To that end, I have chosen to conduct a brief comparative study of Al-Qaeda and Islamic State as both feature prominently in the public consciousness yet represent two distinct manifestations of Qutb’s revolutionary approach.

Emerging out of the Afghan Mujahideen in the late 1980s, Al-Qaeda soon evolved into an international network of Islamist terror cells drawing global attention with its infamous 9/11 Attacks. Over two decades later, in the wake of the Iraq War, Islamic State split from Al-Qaeda, declaring itself a caliphate in 2014. While both organisations have their foundations in Qutbism, they have since ideologically evolved and diverged in response to their differing prioritised targets. Al-Qaeda’s preoccupation with attacking the militarily superior West – the far enemy – has forced it to embrace a big tent approach focused on forming alliances and coalitions with various Islamist factions, such as the Taliban, despite ideological differences. Meanwhile, Islamic State’s focus on local Muslim regimes – the near enemy – has pushed it towards adopting an uncompromising system of Islamic governance aimed at preserving its territorial holdings, leading to clashes with other Islamist terror groups, including Al-Qaeda (Kamolnick, 2017, pp. xv-xxiv).

Al-Qaeda and Islamic State share the same goal of establishing global Islamic governance yet follow two contrasting grand strategies. Islamic State’s strategy involves destabilising regimes to ensure the swift annexation of territory before immediately engaging in the re-Islamisation of its conquered populations. This process of re-Islamisation follows extreme interpretations of Islamic law, leaving no room for deviation, thereby isolating Islamic State from other Islamist groups. In comparison, Al-Qaeda takes a more gradual approach, seeking to free all Muslims from the structures of Jahiliyyah by co-opting local Islamist movements and embedding itself in popular uprisings before beginning the re-Islamisation of Muslim society. This strategy makes Al-Qaeda the more pragmatic and less exclusionary of the two organisations. Simply put: “[Islamic State] is a political extremist actor, while [Al-Qaeda] has become an extremist political actor” (Wilson Center, 2016, pp. 6-8).

Al-Qaeda and Islamic State’s ideological and strategic differences are reflected in their respective organisational structures and preferred tactics. Al-Qaeda follows a decentralised structure, relying on a loose network of affiliated groups and individuals, allowing for greater autonomy among its regional branches (Habeck, 2019). This ensures that the organisation can continue to absorb a diverse range of Islamist groups into its network without risking collapse into infighting. It also provides the clandestine flexibility needed to perform large-scale theatrical attacks against symbolic Western institutions. On the other hand, Islamic State follows a more centralised and hierarchical organisational structure, dividing its territories into provinces headed by appointed governors (Quivooij, 2015, p. 7). During the height of its power, Islamic State favoured conventional warfare tactics, successfully capturing large swaths of Iraq and Syria. However, since losing all its major territories, it has begun embracing the more theatrical approach practised by Al-Qaeda with incidents such as the Manchester Arena Bombing. Despite their differences, both Al-Qaeda and Islamic State devote significant time to producing propaganda with the aim of normalising violent Jihad and radicalising disenfranchised Muslims worldwide (Europol, 2022).

This brings us back to the question at hand: how do we address Islamist terror? Of the three types of causal factors, I’d argue socio-economic conditions and psychological processes are but precursors to the motivator: ideology. They are the bullet and the gun; ideology is what determines whether an individual pulls the trigger. A study by Mark Juergensmeyer revealed that three factors are responsible for ending religious terror: infighting, a loss of faith in the ideology, and opportunities for non-violent alternatives (Juergensmeyer, 2022). As such, the key to ending Islamist terror lies in the ideological deconstruction of revolutionary Islamism (Alkaff & Mahzam, 2018, p. 58; Kamolnick, 2017, pp. 191-197; Wilson Center, 2016, p. 39).


Assessing Prevent

The UK’s counter-terrorism strategy, CONTEST, consists of four principal strands: Prevent, Pursue, Protect and Prepare. The most controversial strand, Prevent – the object of this assessment – focuses on tackling the problem of radicalisation to reduce terrorist intent. Building on this, Pursue focuses on disrupting terrorist actors and their operations to reduce terrorist capability. Coming from a more defensive angle, Protect focuses on strengthening existing security infrastructure to reduce the UK’s vulnerability to terrorism. Similarly, Prepare focuses on enhancing responses to terrorist attacks to reduce the impact of terrorism. By reducing intent, capability, vulnerability and impact, CONTEST aims to reduce the overall risk of terrorism (HM Government, 2018, p. 27).

Prevent is comprised of three key objectives. The first objective is to address the primary motivator of terrorism – ideology – by “galvanising the rejection of terrorist narratives” (HM Government, 2018, p. 33). To do this, Prevent carries out a two-pronged assault by working with civil society organisations to educate the general public on the folly of terrorism while simultaneously suppressing terrorist propaganda. From 2010 to 2018, the Police Counter Terrorism Internet Referral Unit worked with communication service providers to remove over 300,000 pieces of terrorist-related content from the internet (Counter Terrorism Policing, 2018). In the year ending 31st March 2021, Prevent funded 225 community-based projects, reaching over 133,000 participants (Home Office, 2021a).

The second objective is to “safeguard and support those most at risk of radicalisation through early intervention” (HM Government, 2018, p. 31). Under section 26 of the Counter-Terrorism and Security Act 2015, public sector authorities must undergo training to identify and refer at-risk individuals to Prevent for further investigation. If an individual is found to be vulnerable, they may be offered support via Channel, a confidential multi-agency safeguarding programme. In the year ending 31st March 2022, 6,406 individuals were referred to Prevent in England and Wales, 13% of whom participated in the Channel programme (Home Office, 2023a).

The third and final objective is to reduce reoffending by “enabling those who have already engaged in terrorism to disengage and rehabilitate” (HM Government, 2018, p. 40). This is primarily carried out by the mandatory Desistance and Disengagement Programme, which provides one-to-one support to individuals convicted and suspected of terror-related offences via specialist intervention providers. Since its introduction in 2016, over 500 participants have taken part in the programme (Home Office, 2023b).

Since its inception, Prevent and the broader CONTEST strategy has consistently identified Islamist terror as the primary threat to the UK’s national security despite recognising the rise of right-wing extremism in recent years (HM Government, 2006, pp. 6-8; 2009, pp. 21-52; 2011a, pp. 13-21; 2011b, pp. 20-37; 2018, pp. 15-24). Between 2016 and 2022, there was a total of 36,677 Prevent referrals, a third of which related to concerns about Islamist terror. Of these 12,203 referrals regarding Islamist terror, only 11% were adopted as Channel cases (Home Office, 2017; 2018a; 2018b; 2019; 2020; 2021b; 2023a).

On a putative level, the Prevent programme offers a comprehensive solution to the issue of Islamist radicalisation. That said, critics have raised several concerns about the ethicality and effectiveness of its stringent pre-emptive measures.

The foremost charge laid against Prevent is the accusation that it unfairly targets the British Muslim community, leading to discrimination and stigmatisation (Holmwood & Aitlhadj, 2022, pp. 5-6). The programme’s emphasis on identifying extremism within Muslim communities promotes the fallacious narrative that all terrorists are Muslim (Corbin, 2017). A narrative that Western media outlets have long since promoted: atrocities committed by Muslims receive six times more coverage and are nine times more likely to be associated with the term ‘terrorism’ than those committed by white supremacists (Hanif, 2020). This, in turn, contributes to existing feelings of marginalisation and lends credence to the ‘us-versus-them’ narratives that Islamist terror groups rely on to radicalise vulnerable individuals.

Secondly, there are also concerns that Prevent is based on flawed understandings of radicalisation, as evidenced by the vast majority of referrals failing to make it onto the Channel programme. This indicates that Prevent training has failed to properly educate public sector authorities on the tell-tale signs of radicalisation. In particular, the disproportionately high number of Islamist referrals seems to result from the misguided belief that religiosity equals extremism. For instance, take the case of a 15-year-old boy who was referred to Prevent for refusing to participate in mixed PE sessions and requesting time to attend Friday prayers (Holmwood & Aitlhadj, 2022, p. 58). On the contrary, academic research supports the view that Muslim religiosity entails a positive sense of national identity (Karlsen & Nazroo, 2015).

Another charge laid against Prevent is that it negatively impacts freedom of expression by forcing individuals to engage in self-censorship out of fear of being reported as potential terrorists (Younis & Jadhav, 2019). This only further isolates vulnerable individuals making them more susceptible to Islamist influence. Only by sharing potentially extremist views can society engage in the ideological deconstruction of terrorist narratives necessary to prevent radicalisation. Furthermore, critics have also pointed out the potential for Prevent to be weaponised against legitimate political dissent, thus tying into broader fears about the UK’s gradual evolution into a police state via the process of securitisation (Mohammed & Siddiqui, 2013).

Despite these valid concerns, the government’s Independent Review of Prevent, led by William Shawcross, concluded that the programme was not Islamophobic, stating “Islamism as an ideology is not the same as Islam as a faith [and] it is not anti-Muslim to try to prevent the spread of that brutal ideology” (Shawcross, 2023, p. 4). As of March 2022, only 16% of Prevent referrals were in relation to Islamist terror compared to 22% the previous year, an overall decrease of 72% since 2017 (Home Office, 2023a). It remains to be seen whether this trend will continue or reverse in the subsequent years following Shawcross’ call to refocus Prevent’s efforts on tackling Islamist terror (Shawcross, 2023, pp. 7-8). What is certain, however, is that Prevent has played a significant role in the marginalisation of British Muslims, creating the very conditions which allow Islamism to persist.


Conclusion

To recap, I began this essay by briefly introducing Islamist terror – terrorism carried out by organisations and individuals primarily motivated by revolutionary Islamism – highlighting its preferred tactics, distribution and historical origins. Contrary to what religious polemicists may claim, I emphasised that Islamism is a relatively recent phenomenon, a product of the 20th century.

In the second section, I delved into a deep analysis of Islamist terror, employing Rapoport’s Wave Theory to understand its place within the broader context of terrorism and clarifying the distinction between Islam as a religion and Islamism as the political ideology driving Islamist terror. I then discussed the three factors contributing to terrorism, identifying ideological factors as the primary motivator with socio-economic factors and psychological factors as necessary precursors.

Focusing on the ideological underpinnings of Islamist terror, I examined the three streams of Islamism – electoral, authoritarian and revolutionary – before highlighting Qubtism as a significant influence on all major Islamist terror groups. Following this, I conducted a comparative study of Al-Qaeda and Islamic State to demonstrate their distinct applications of Qubt’s revolutionary ideology and contrasting strategies in pursuing the establishment of global Islamic governance. I ended the section by highlighting that the key to ending Islamist terror lies in the ideological deconstruction of revolutionary Islamism.

In the third section, I began by providing an overview of Prevent’s operational tenets and objectives, including statistical information where appropriate, before highlighting some of the key criticisms lodged against it. Despite its noble goal of protecting vulnerable individuals from the threat of radicalisation, Prevent has done more harm than good. The programme’s deliberate targeting of the British Muslim community has contributed to marginalisation, precipitating feelings of distrust and injustice that lead to radicalisation. Simply put, Prevent is contributing to the very phenomena it wishes to stop.

In conclusion, addressing Islamist terror requires a multifaceted approach that considers socio-economic conditions, psychological processes, and ideological influences. Policymakers must strive for nuanced understanding and tailor counter-terrorism strategies accordingly. It is crucial that policymakers continuously reassess and refine their approaches to stay ahead of evolving forms of terrorism and ensure the safety and security of the public. By acknowledging the complexities and specificities of Islamist terror, more effective and targeted measures can be developed to counter its persistent threat.


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The Responsibility to Protect: Fundamentally Flawed Or Simply Awaiting Reform?

Libya’s ongoing instability is a direct result of NATO’s controversial intervention under the Responsibility to Protect.

The following essay was originally submitted as an assignment for my university and was graded as a 2:1.


Since modernity, the Westphalian System has defined international relations. In principle, the treaties of Westphalia assert that every state, no matter how big or small, has exclusive sovereignty over its territories, as enshrined in Article 2 of the United Nations Charter (UN, 1945, p. 2). Thus, it remained until the 2005 World Summit, where the world’s nations gathered together to institute a new global commitment, the Responsibility to Protect (RtoP), aimed at preventing human atrocities.

Despite its noble goals, the RtoP has been subject to considerable criticism, with many accusing the doctrine of infringing on national sovereignty and legitimising Western interventionism. On the other hand, proponents of the RtoP like to point towards successful missions in Kenya and the Ivory Coast as exemplary models of diplomatic action. Given the doctrine’s controversial legacy, this essay aims to explain, assess, and review refinements to the RtoP. In the first section, I explore the ethical principles and legal framework of the RtoP. In the second section, I discuss its political implications and practical limitations. Following this, I briefly review refinements to the RtoP before concluding with my final thoughts on why the RtoP is a fundamentally good idea in need of reform.


Explaining the Responsibility to Protect

Prior to the RtoP, there was no legal framework for carrying out intervention on an international level. Instead, states were expected to manage humanitarian atrocities on a unilateral and bilateral level without the input of the wider global community. For example, the 1971 Bangladesh Liberation War, which saw the genocide of 300,000 to 3,000,000 Bengalis at the hands of the Pakistani government, was only stopped by rival India’s timely military intervention (Rummel, 1998, pp. 153-163). Despite international condemnation, the United Nations (UN) failed to organise any humanitarian efforts.

However, even in instances when the UN attempted to play a more active role in managing human atrocities, it proved largely ineffective. The 1992-1995 Bosnian War involved the genocide of over 30,000 Bosniaks despite a sizable UN presence (Calic, 2013, p. 140). Similarly, the UN Assistance Mission to Rwanda is regarded as a complete debacle for failing to prevent the Rwandan genocide, in which well over 500,000 Tutsi were killed, due to limitations in its rules of engagement (Guichaoua, 2020). Without a recognised framework to work within, the UN and international community were left to stand by and watch as human atrocities unfolded around the world.

Policymakers sought to change this by developing a legal framework that would commit states to collectively intervene to prevent human atrocities. The first call for such a commitment can be attributed to the late UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan’s millennial report entitled We the peoples: the role of the United Nations in the twenty-first century (Annan, 2000, pp. 31-39). Within the same year, the African Union (AU) became the first multi-national union to adopt the commitment under Article 4 of its constitutive act, which permits the AU to intervene in a member state under “grave circumstances” (AU, 2000, p. 7).

The following year, the International Commission on Intervention and State Sovereignty (ICISS) released its report on the RtoP. This report outlined three specific sub-responsibilities that together form the overall RtoP (ICISS, 2001, p. XI):

  1. The Responsibility to Prevent: States must address the root causes and direct causes of human atrocities. Prevention options should always be exhausted before intervention is considered.
  1. The Responsibility to React: States must respond to human atrocities with the appropriate measures, including sanctions, international prosecution, and, in extreme cases, military intervention. Less coercive and intrusive measures should be applied before more coercive and intrusive measures.
  1. The Responsibility to Rebuild: States must provide full assistance with recovery, reconstruction and reconciliation following an intervention. The rebuilding process should include measures to prevent human atrocities from occurring in the future.

More importantly, the ICISS report also outlined four criteria that must be met for military intervention to be considered legitimate (ICISS, 2001, pp. XII-XIII):

  1. Just Cause Threshold: Military intervention must only be pursued if a serious and imminent threat of human atrocity exists due to deliberate state action, neglect, or failure.
  1. Precautionary Principles: Military intervention must be primarily motivated by the need to protect human life, a last resort after all other options have been exhausted, proportional to the situation at hand, and have a reasonable chance of success.
  1. Right Authority: Military intervention must require the approval of the UN security council.
  1. Operational Principles: Military intervention must have an unambiguous mandate at all times, clear communication among all involved parties, maximum possible coordination with humanitarian organisations, incrementally apply force, follow appropriate rules of engagement, and accept that force protection cannot become the primary objective.

The RtoP was subsequently enshrined in paragraphs 138 and 139 of the 2005 World Summit Outcome, defining human atrocity as “genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity” (UN, 2005, p. 30). In addition to stressing the need for state cooperation in exercising the RtoP and establishing early warning capabilities, the 2005 World Summit emphasised the importance of acting in accordance with the United Nations Charter, notably Chapters VI, VII, and VIII (UN, 1945, pp. 8-11). Four years later, UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon introduced the three pillars as a way to operationalise the RtoP (Ki-moon, 2009, pp. 8-10):

  1. Pillar I – The Protection Responsibilities of the State: States are responsible for protecting their population from genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing, and crimes against humanity.
  1. Pillar II – International Assistance and Capacity-building: States must assist each other in their protection responsibilities.
  1. Pillar III – Timely and Decisive Response: If any state fails to fulfil its protection responsibilities, other states must take collective action to protect the population.

Assessing the Responsibility to Protect

On a fundamental level, the RtoP is predicated on the radical idea that state sovereignty implies responsibility for state populations, including citizens and non-citizens. Therefore, when a situation arises that endangers a state’s population, and the state fails to act, it falls to the international community to intervene. In such a situation, “the principle of non-intervention yields to the international responsibility to protect” (ICISS, 2001, p. XI). In doing so, RtoP tacitly challenges the core ideal of the Westphalian System – the sacrosanctity of state sovereignty – by creating room for legitimate intervention on humanitarian grounds.

In theory, no matter how powerful or weak a state is, it must ensure the safety of its population lest it forfeits its right to inviolable sovereignty. For this reason, the RtoP represents a paradigm shift in international law (Slaughter, 2006). Under the Westphalian System, states were free to do whatever they pleased within their territories so long as they did not harm another sovereign. Sovereignty was unconditional. Of course, in practice, powerful states could still interfere in the internal workings of weaker states with impunity. In contrast, under the RtoP, sovereignty is now conditional on the state protecting its population from human atrocity, and every state is to be held accountable to the international community.

As highlighted before, the world without the RtoP saw countless human atrocities, from the Armenian genocide in the Ottoman Empire to the Holocaust in Nazi Germany. But what does the world with RtoP look like? And is this world really any different from the one before?

The RtoP was first implemented during the 2007 Kenyan Crisis (GCR2P, 2022). Following dubious elections, President Mwai Kibaki of the Party of National Unity (PNU) was sworn in as the president of Kenya in late December 2007. Supporters of the opposition, the Orange Democratic Party (ODM) led by Raila Odinga, immediately contested the election by arranging mass protests across the country. These protests eventually escalated into violence between ethnic Kikuyus, Luos and Kalenjins, resulting in the deaths of over 1,000 people and the displacement of a further 300,000 by early February the following year (Gettleman, 2008).

The international community sprung into action almost immediately. Within two weeks, the AU, supported by the UN and other key international groups, appointed a three-member Panel of Eminent African Personalities to mediate the conflict and find a peaceful solution. Former UN Secretary-General Annan led the panel alongside former Tanzanian President Benjamin Mkapa and humanitarian Graça Machel, wife of Nelson Mandela. They arrived in Kenya on the 22nd January, and by the end of the week, Kibaki and Odinga agreed to a 41-day mediation period. On the 28th February, following lengthy negotiations, both parties agreed to a power-sharing arrangement with Kibaki as President and Odinga as Prime Minister, finally ending the violence (Weiss, 2010).

The 2007 Kenyan Crisis demonstrates just how effective the RtoP can be when the international community rallies together. With diplomatic intervention, the PNU and ODM were able to overcome their differences without the need for military intervention. Had the international community refused to diplomatically intervene on the grounds of respecting Kenya’s sovereignty, there is no doubt that the violence would have continued to spiral out of control, and countless more people would have been killed. Unfortunately, not every case of intervention under the RtoP ends as it did in Kenya.

The first military intervention under the RtoP occurred during the first year of the ongoing 2011 Libyan Crisis (GCR2P, 2022). After 42 years of authoritarian rule under Colonel Muammar Gaddafi, civil war broke out in Libya as part of the wider Arab Spring. On the 15th February 2011, anti-government rallies were held in Benghazi, protesting the arrest of human rights lawyer Fethi Tarbel. Libyan security forces violently suppressed the demonstrations, intensifying anti-government sentiment and provoking nationwide revolts. By March, rebel forces had taken control of large swathes of eastern Libya, forming the National Transitional Council (NTC) in Benghazi. Five days later, Gaddafi initiated a gruelling counter-offensive, taking back most rebel-held cities before advancing on the rebel stronghold of Benghazi. By this point in the conflict, over 1,000 people had been killed, and at least 37,000 people had been displaced (Ki-moon, 2011).

With the death toll mounting, the UN security council passed Resolution 1973 on the 17th March, authorising military intervention “to protect civilians and civilian populated areas under threat of attack” (UNSC, 2011, p. 3). Two days later, French fighter jets destroyed several pro-Gaddaffi vehicles advancing on Benghazi, followed by the firing of over 110 cruise missiles by American and British submarines that destroyed the regime’s air defence capabilities. With the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) now in command of the intervention, the NTC were able to halt the regime’s counter-offensive and begin advancing on Tripoli, ending the war on the 20th October with the death of Colonel Gaddafi. By the war’s end, 21,490 people were killed, with an additional 19,700 injured and 435,000 displaced (Daw, et al., 2015).

In the aftermath of the First Libyan Civil War, the country’s transition to stable democracy has been considerably hindered. Despite the international community formally recognising the NTC as Libya’s governing body, the reality on the ground was quite different, with various militias and armed groups taking control of different parts of the country. These groups eventually formed two competing factions during the 2014 elections, leading to the Second Libyan Civil War (Fitzgerald & Toaldo, 2016). Despite agreeing to a ceasefire on 21st August 2020, the future of Libya still looks pretty grim, with many arguing that life under Gaddafi was much more tolerable than the current state of affairs (Baspineiro, 2020).

The 2011 Libyan Crisis demonstrates just how damaging military intervention under RtoP can be. By simply propping up a new government and calling it a day, the international community left the country in a worse state than before the intervention. Had the UN security council respected Libya’s sovereignty by refusing to intervene, perhaps Gaddafi would have been able to defeat the rebels and institute peace. And while it is true that Gaddafi’s government would have continued to kill many people, it’s unlikely the number would have been much higher than those killed following the intervention and second civil war.

And so, the question must be asked: why did the RtoP work in Kenya but not in Libya?

One possible explanation is the spiral model, which asserts that peace is best preserved via appeasement and conciliation, as it was in the case of Kenya, rather than through the threat of punishment and military intervention used in Libya (Jervis, 1976, pp. 58-114). However, this analysis ignores the case-specific conditions that allowed intervention to succeed in Kenya and fail in Libya.

In Libya, longstanding grievances about Gaddafi’s controversial foreign policy had isolated him from the international community for most of his reign (Solomon & Swart, 2005). So, when the opportunity arose for those same aggrieved states to overthrow Gaddafi’s regime, they happily jumped at it. Gaddafi was too volatile for the international system. Meanwhile, in Kenya, the international community was relatively impartial between the ODM and PNU, so it didn’t matter what the intervention’s outcome looked like so long as peace was restored (Weiss, 2010). In short, the international community had the right intentions with Kenya and the wrong ones with Libya. As a result, no matter the nature of the intervention, diplomatic or military, it was destined for success in Kenya and doomed to fail in Libya. Ultimately, the disparity in outcome between Kenya and Libya is indicative of broader systemic issues that must be reformed if the RtoP is to be realised (Paris, 2014):

  • The Mixed-motives Problem: The RtoP rests on states having purely altruistic aims; however, states more often than not look out for their own self-interest, leading to botched interventions.
  • The Counterfactual Problem: The RtoP has to rely on counterfactual arguments to justify intervention, making it much harder to rally international support in those situations it is desperately needed.
  • The Conspicuous Harm Problem: When interventions are proposed, the immediate costs will be more apparent than the immediate benefits, causing support to dwindle.
  • The End-state Problem: Intervention can be a long process that may require states to take on extended mandates long after a human atrocity has been averted.
  • The Inconsistency Problem: The RtoP has been wholly inconsistent in its application, with many ongoing human atrocities receiving virtually no attention under the doctrine.

Refining the Responsibility to Protect

As the smoke cleared after the Frist Libyan Civil War, Brazil submitted its Responsibility while Protecting (RwP) note to the UN security council. While the RwP note was largely redundant for repeating a lot of the same points as the ICISS report, it did call for the strict chronological sequencing of RtoP’s three pillars and stressed a distinction between collective responsibility and collective security (Serbin & Pont, 2015, p. 175). The aim was to establish greater accountability under the RtoP by forcing the UN security council to conduct “comprehensive and judicious analysis of the possible consequences of military action on a case-by-case basis” and “to monitor and assess the manner in which resolutions are interpreted and implemented” (Viotti, 2011, p. 3). Doing so would have ensured that intervening states could no longer abuse the RtoP for their own self-interest as they did in Libya. On the other hand, such stringent regulation can take a lot of time to fulfil, something the victims of human atrocity do not have. As a result, detractors have accused RwP of paralysing the RtoP (Avezov, 2013).

Ultimately, the RwP note misses the point. While greater oversight may make some headway in solving the mixed-motives problem, it does not tackle the heart of what is holding back the RtoP: the permanent members of the UN security council, namely their right to veto. This is especially damaging in cases where permanent members or their allies are found to be violating the RtoP. For instance, the US and Russia have historically vetoed resolutions on Israeli-occupied Palestinian territory and the Syrian Civil War. Similarly, China has blocked every attempt to get the Uyghur Genocide on the international agenda (Rizvi, 2020). With this in mind, any effort to reform the RtoP must require the reformation of the UN security council itself, which ties into the wider debate surrounding UN institutional reform.


Conclusion

To recap, the RtoP was devised to prevent genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity. Under the doctrine, states are expected to cooperate in implementing the appropriate measures to prevent, react to and rebuild following such human atrocities. Furthermore, the international community may be called upon to carry out military intervention should the need arise. In such an event, strict rules outlining a just cause threshold, precautionary principles, the right authority and operational principles must be followed.

In theory, the RtoP challenges the very heart of the Westphalian System; however, in practice, systemic issues have meant that the doctrine has seen little success in tackling human atrocity and the Westphalian norms that allow it to continue. As exemplified by NATO during the First Libyan Civil War, powerful states and their allies can still do as they wish with impunity. Therefore, as it stands, the world with the RtoP is not very different from the one without it, especially when you consider the multitude of human atrocities that the RtoP has failed to address, from the Rohingya Genocide in Myanmar to the ethnic cleansing of Palestinians by the Israeli government.

In an attempt to reform the RtoP, Brazil proposed the idea of RwP to increase the accountability of intervening states. However, the concept misses the heart of the issue and only serves to justify encumbering oversight by the security council. The only way to truly realise the RtoP is through the institutional reform of the UN. Unfortunately, such reforms will take years of negotiation. In the meantime, victims of human atrocity will continue to suffer as the world looks away in the typical Westphalian manner.

While it is easy to fall into abject pessimism over all this, it is important to remember that, at the very least, the RtoP has spotlighted the issue of human atrocity on the international stage. This reason alone is enough to warrant it a fundamentally good idea. With time, I’m confident that the international community will find a way to streamline the RtoP into force for good that makes human atrocity a distant memory. And, for those staunch advocates of the Westphalia System, I’d like to end with the words of Annan: “if humanitarian intervention is, indeed, an unacceptable assault on sovereignty, how should we respond to a Rwanda, to a Srebrenica – to gross and systematic violations of human rights that offend every precept of our common humanity?” (Annan, 2000, p. 34).


References

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Baspineiro, R., 2020. Libya: Before and After Muammar Gaddafi. [Online] Available at: https://www.telesurenglish.net/analysis/Libya-Before-and-After-Muammar-Gaddafi-20200115-0011.html [Accessed 30 April 2023].

Calic, M., 2013. Ethnic Cleansing and War Crimes, 1991–1995. In: C. Ingrao & T. A. Emmert, eds. Confronting the Yugoslav Controversies: A Scholars’ Initiative. West Lafayette: Purdue University Press, pp. 114-153.

Daw, M. A., El-Bouzedi, A. & Dau, A. A., 2015. Libyan armed conflict 2011: Mortality, injury and population displacement. African Journal of Emergency Medicine, 5(3), pp. 101-107.

Fitzgerald, M. & Toaldo, M., 2016. A quick guide to Libya’s main players. [Online]
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Garwood-Gowers, A., 2013. The BRICS and the Responsibility to Protect in Libya and Syria. In: M. Dine & V. Sancin, eds. Responsibility to protect in theory and practice: papers presented at the Responsibility to Protect in Theory and Practice Conference 2013. Ljubljana: GV Zalozba, pp. 291-315.

GCR2P, 2022. Populations At Risk – Kenya. [Online]
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Gettleman, J., 2008. Death Toll in Kenya Exceeds 1,000, but Talks Reach Crucial Phase. [Online]
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Guichaoua, A., 2020. Counting the Rwandan Victims of War and Genocide: Concluding Reflections. Journal of Genocide Research, 22(1), pp. 125-141.

ICISS, 2001. The Responsibility to Protect, Ottawa: International Development Research Centre.

Jervis, R., 1976. Perception and Misperception in International Politics: New Edition. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

Ki-moon, B., 2009. Implementing the Responsibility to Protect, New York: UN.

Ki-moon, B., 2011. Secretary-General Tells Security Council Time to Consider Concrete Action in Libya, as Loss of Time Means More Loss of Lives. [Online] Available at: https://press.un.org/en/2011/sgsm13418.doc.html [Accessed 30 April 2023].

Paris, R., 2014. The ‘Responsibility to Protect’ and the Structural Problems of Preventive Humanitarian Intervention. International Peacekeeping, 21(5), pp. 569-603.

Rizvi, A., 2020. Uighur Crisis Highlights Flawed Structure of UN Security Council. [Online] Available at: https://www.jurist.org/commentary/2020/07/alina-rizvi-unsc-reform-uighurs/ [Accessed 30 April 2023].

Rummel, R. J., 1998. Statistics of Democide: Genocide and Mass Murder since 1900. Münster: LIT Verlag.

Serbin, A. & Pont, A. S., 2015. Latin America and the Responsibility to Protect: Divergent Views from the South?. Managua: CRIES.

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Weiss, T. G., 2010. Halting atrocities in Kenya. Great Decisions, pp. 17-30.

Poking the Bear: Explaining Russia-NATO Hostilities

In February 2022, Russian forces began a full-blown military invasion of Ukrainian territory.

The following essay was originally submitted as an assignment for my university and was graded as a 1st class essay.


The post-2014 hostility between Russia and NATO results from two conflicting geostrategic policies that have contributed to a negative relationship spiral between the two sides: NATO expansionism and Russian irredentism. To illustrate this, I demonstrate how the Russo-Georgian War and the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian War were borne out of necessity to counter NATO expansionism, giving rise to Russian irredentism. Following this, I present counterarguments to alternative explanations for the source of the ongoing conflict. To conclude, I assert that the spiral model best explains the rising hostilities between Russia and NATO.

Following the end of the cold war, NATO gradually extended membership to former Eastern Bloc states, traditionally considered part of Russia’s sphere of influence. Coupled with long-standing grievances over NATO’s involvement in the Kosovo War and concerns over NATO’s missile defence program, Russia viewed this expansion into eastern Europe as a threat to its security. This eventually came to a head at the 2008 Bucharest Summit, where NATO agreed to extend membership to Georgia and Ukraine. Doing so would have left Russia surrounded by what it views as a hostile military bloc. In response, Russia militarily supported separatist groups in Georgia later that year, recognising South Ossetia and Abkhazia as independent states. This effectively blocked Georgia from entry into NATO as other member states were unwilling to inherit the country’s ongoing territorial disputes. Thus, the Russo-Georgian War served as a way for Russia to protect itself from NATO expansionism and any threats it would pose to Russian security.

In a similar vein to the Russo-Georgian War, the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian War also halts NATO’s expansion by preventing Ukraine from joining the alliance. That said, there is one key difference between the two conflicts. In the case of Georgia, Russia did not annex any territory, instead opting to support the South Ossetia and Abkhazia separatists without absorbing them into the Russian Federation. Lending legitimacy to their respective causes was enough to dash Georgia’s hopes of joining NATO. However, if all Russia has to do to stop NATO expansion is support and recognise separatist states in Ukraine, why did Russia choose to annex Crimea in 2014? The answer lies in a critical change in Russian geostrategic policy post-2008: Russian irredentism.

Irredentism is a type of expansionist policy in which a state desires to annex territory based on shared history and strong ethnic ties. While both Ukraine and Georgia were formerly part of the Russian Empire and USSR, the ethnic Russian population of Georgia is only 0.7% compared to Ukraine’s 17.3%. Therefore, it would not have been strategically justified for Russia to annex Georgian territory during the Russo-Georgian War. In contrast, Russia has far stronger irredentist claims on Ukraine due to a sizable number of ethnic Russians and Russian-speaking Ukrainians concentrated in Crimea and eastern Ukraine. This irredentist reasoning subsequently formed the basis of Russia’s rationale for annexing Crimea. As Vladimir Putin stated in his Presidential Address on the 18th March 2014: “In people’s hearts and minds, Crimea has always been an inseparable part of Russia.” In the years since the annexation, Russian support for the war remains strong, thereby illustrating Russian irredentism’s effectiveness as a counterweight to NATO expansionism.

To recap, what started as a mutual desire for security has since spiralled into a conflict of competing geostrategic policies. In the post-Cold War period, both NATO and Russia sought to improve their individual security. For NATO, this meant following an expansionist policy of extending membership to former Eastern Bloc states. However, this threatened Russia’s security, provoking Russia to launch the Russo-Georgian War and begin following an irredentist policy of responsibility over Russians living in neighbouring countries. In response, the only way for NATO to ensure its security was to double down on its expansionist policy and strengthen ties between existing member states. This posed an even greater threat to Russia, provoking Russia to launch the Russo-Ukrainian War, the current source of hostility between Russia and NATO. In short, both parties have become increasingly hostile in response to the actions of the other, a clear example of the spiral model in effect.

That being said, geostrategic conflict is not the only reason cited as a cause of the Russo-Ukrainian War and ongoing hostilities between NATO and Russia. Some political commentators argue that there exists a fundamental rift between the democratic world and the authoritarian world. In their worldview, NATO represents the democratic ideal to which Russia’s authoritarian regime is an anathema. Hence why cooperation is impossible, and hostility is inevitable. However, when one considers that NATO enjoys close ties with authoritarian regimes such as Jordan and includes flawed democracies and hybrid regimes such as Romania and Turkey, the merit of this argument is considerably weakened. Evidently, NATO is more than willing to work with authoritarian regimes if it is to the advantage of its expansionist policy. Similarly, Russian supporters often claim that the recent invasion of Ukraine was done under a moral obligation to combat Neo-Nazism embodied by groups such as Ukraine’s Azov Regiment. This is also a weak argument given the prevalence of Neo-Nazism throughout Europe and Russia itself.

In conclusion, the hostility between Russia and NATO results from competing geostrategic policies and is best exemplified using the spiral model. NATO expansionism and Russian irredentism contributed to the escalating tension in the post-Cold War period. While other reasons have been cited for the conflict, such as the democracy-authoritarianism dichotomy and the moral problem of Neo-Nazism, evidence suggests that these factors take a backseat to the geopolitical realities. Ultimately, the solution to the NATO-Russia conflict lies in reconciling the mutual security interests of both parties via negotiation and compromise. Until this is realised, the spiral model will continue to play out, with each side responding to the other in a never-ending cycle of conflict.

Terrorism: An Interdisciplinary Approach

The September 11 Attacks sparked global outrage and prompted the US to initiate the War on Terror.

The following essay was originally submitted as an assignment for my university and was graded as a 2:1.


In this essay, I aim to utilise Allen Repko and James Welch’s interdisciplinary approach to examine the global issue of terrorism (Repko & Welch, 2005). First, I will begin by defining terrorism and outlining my specific research questions. Then I will introduce the concept of interdisciplinarity, discussing its advantages and disadvantages. Following this, I will study terrorism in isolation through the lens of social policy, politics, and economics, highlighting how each discipline answers my research questions. To conclude, I will combine these insights to construct a more integrated understanding of terrorism before reflecting on how I found the process of using an interdisciplinary approach.


Defining Terrorism

In the absence of a single internationally agreed-upon definition, the UN minimally defines terrorism as “the intimidation or coercion of populations or governments through the threat or perpetration of violence, causing death, serious injury or the taking of hostages” (United Nations, 2023). Over the last decade, the global death toll from terrorism ranged from 8,200 in 2011 to 44,600 in 2014, averaging 26,000 people a year. In addition, terrorism poses a significant security risk to countries worldwide, particularly in the Middle East, Africa, and South Asia, which accounted for 95% of the deaths caused by terrorism in 2019 (Ritchie, et al., 2022). Given its global nature, it is imperative that scholars become accustomed to studying terrorism in the hopes of finding a sustainable solution. With this in mind, I aim to utilise interdisciplinarity to answer the following research questions:

What are the causes of terrorism?

What is the solution to terrorism?


Introducing Interdisciplinarity

In 1994, Michael Gibbons and his colleagues posited a new theory concerning the production of knowledge. They argued that knowledge production was undergoing a fundamental change at the end of the twentieth century, moving from what they called ‘Mode 1’ to ‘Mode 2’. Mode 1 refers to traditional knowledge generated within discrete disciplines (Gibbons, et al., 1994). A discipline is any self-contained domain of human experience with its own community of experts and distinctive components (Nissani, 1995). Furthermore, disciplines often focus on a specific subject area with their own rules and boundaries (Bridges, 2006). For example, geology is a discipline concerned with studying Earth and other astronomical objects. It has a community of experts known as geologists and distinctive components, such as geophysical surveys and the Theory of Plate Tectonics.

Meanwhile, Mode 2 refers to knowledge generated by different disciplines working together to solve a specific problem via a process known as interdisciplinarity (Gibbons, et al., 1994). Interdisciplinarity can be minimally defined as bringing together the distinctive components of two or more disciplines (Nissani, 1995). More precisely, interdisciplinarity involves integrating and synthesising knowledge and methods from different disciplines (Jensenius, 2012). For instance, environmental science practices interdisciplinarity by synthesising knowledge and methods from geology, ecology, and oceanography. Much of the knowledge generated in environmental science has gone on to inform policy surrounding climate change.

Before discussing the advantages and disadvantages of interdisciplinarity, it is worth noting how it differs from other knowledge production methods, such as multidisciplinarity and cross-disciplinarity. Multidisciplinarity involves different disciplines working together for a common purpose, each drawing on its own body of knowledge (Jensenius, 2012). Thus, unlike interdisciplinary studies, where a single researcher must become acquainted with different disciplines, multidisciplinary studies require a group of researchers to focus on a common issue, viewing it from the perspective of their individual disciplines. This parallel approach to study is considerably less integrative than interdisciplinarity, making it difficult for researchers to consolidate their knowledge and ideas (Borrego & Newswander, 2010).

Similarly, cross-disciplinarity involves engaging with the subject area of one discipline using the methods and knowledge from another (Jensenius, 2012). Therefore, cross-disciplinarity is the least integrative as it does not require researchers to engage with the tools or perspectives of another discipline, only its subject area. Given this, cross-disciplinarity is far less likely to produce any new meaningful insights regarding a particular topic or issue. Therefore, both multidisciplinarity and cross-disciplinarity fall short of interdisciplinarity when it comes to successful knowledge production.

The benefits and challenges of interdisciplinarity are best encapsulated by the term ‘breadth-over-depth’. If the different knowledge production methods were to exist on a spectrum, then traditional disciplinarity would have the most depth and least breadth, followed by cross-disciplinarity and multidisciplinarity. Interdisciplinarity exists on the other side of the spectrum with the most breadth but least depth. Accordingly, traditional disciplinarity is often characterised as having a narrow focus that poses an “obstacle to fluid and imaginative intellectual endeavour” (Bridges, 2006, p. 262). Meanwhile, interdisciplinary studies come across as “characteristically shallow” (Benson, 1982, p. 43).

The main challenge of using an interdisciplinary approach is limited time and resources. Traditional disciplinarity allows students and researchers to pool all their time and resources into a single subject, allowing for greater mastery over their chosen discipline. In contrast, interdisciplinarity requires students and researchers to divide their time and resources across multiple disciplines, preventing them from fully understanding any one discipline. Interdisciplinary research projects have significantly longer production times and increased ambiguity compared to traditional research projects. Consequently, interdisciplinary studies tend to receive limited recognition and support within traditional academic structures (Leahey, 2018). Therefore, interdisciplinarity is the least efficient method of knowledge production.

On the other hand, the main benefit of an interdisciplinary approach is its ability to recognise the multifaceted nature of complex global issues such as terrorism. Using a single discipline to address a global issue will only highlight the elements that are relevant to that discipline. For instance, strict economists will only notice the economic causes of terrorism, leading them to wrongly conclude that terrorism is solely the result of economic deprivation. Therefore, traditional disciplinarity is insufficient when addressing global issues (Okamura, 2019). However, interdisciplinarity encourages individuals to critically engage with the theories and methodologies of multiple disciplines, opening them up to fresh perspectives whilst simultaneously overcoming the inadequacies of any one discipline (Klein, 1990). Furthermore, interdisciplinary learning has the added benefit of developing advanced epistemological beliefs, metacognitive skills, creativity, and critical thinking (Stentoft, 2017). Thus, making it the ideal method for effectively addressing global issues.

In summary, the future of knowledge production lies in interdisciplinarity – the integration and synthesis of different disciplines – as opposed to multidisciplinarity and cross-disciplinarity. While interdisciplinary approaches may not be as efficient as traditional disciplinary approaches, they are more effective at addressing complex global issues. Accordingly, an interdisciplinary approach is crucial for highlighting the multiplicity of factors causing terrorism which is conducive to devising a viable solution that covers all bases.


Perspectives from Social Policy

Over the last two decades, social policy has become increasingly invested in the study of terrorism and how it relates to issues surrounding social welfare. Primarily drawing from the discipline of criminology, social policy recognises that terrorism has changed over time. In recent years, a growing number of social policy practitioners have begun distinguishing between what they term ‘old’ terrorism and ‘new’ terrorism.

According to David Rapoport, the history of modern terrorism can be divided into four waves: anarchist, nationalist/anti-colonial, new left, and religious (Rapoport, 2004). Each of these four waves of terrorism is characterised by unique socio-cultural environments, methodologies, ideologies, and organisational structures. For instance, the current religious wave, exemplified by Al-Qaeda, directly appeals to religious faith for its justification, whereas the nationalist wave, exemplified by the IRA, appealed to ideas about emancipatory struggle (Kaplan, 2016). Rapoport’s religious wave of terrorism coincides with what social policy practitioners call ‘new’ terrorism: the “anti-order of the new world order of the 21st century” (Juergensmeyer, 2000, p. 158). It is characterised by amorphous structures of organisation and indiscriminate violent spectacles inspired by religious extremism (Hattotuwa, 2007). Given these conclusions, it is clear that social policy views religious fanaticism as a major cause of modern terrorism. That being said, a growing minority of scholars have begun categorising a fifth wave of terrorism, the right-wing wave, centred around ideas about white supremacy (Auger, 2020).

In social policy, the purpose of terrorism studies is to determine how much of a threat it poses to social welfare. In the UK, this has spurred policymakers to create the UK Terror Threat Levels, a scale of five alert states ranging from low to critical that determine national security responses. Since its introduction in 2006, the UK threat level from international terrorism has not dropped below substantial (MI5, 2023). This is but a reflection of much greater anxiety and moral panic surrounding the threat of terrorism on a global scale that has pushed policymakers worldwide to devise increasingly authoritarian measures to address it via a process known as securitisation.

Securitisation refers to the state’s ability to transform common political issues into matters of national security, allowing it to pass extraordinary measures it would not be able to do otherwise (Buzan, et al., 1998). It is a practice that dates back to the early waves of terrorism when colonial powers instituted increasingly draconian methods in an attempt to stem the tide of nationalistic fervour. For example, the British Raj passed the Defence of India Act 1915, extending it under the Rowlatt Act in 1919, which allowed for the censorship of the press, arrests without warrant, indefinite detention without trial, and juryless trials for anyone engaged in acts of revolutionary nationalism (Ghani, 2020).

In a similar fashion, the UK government gradually rolled back on the public’s civil liberties in the interest of national security during the early 2000s. The Terrorism Act 2000 gave the police the power to stop and search without reasonable suspicion. A few years later, the Terrorism Act 2006 gave the police the power to arrest and detain without charge for up to 28 days. These powers have subsequently been abused by police, especially when shutting down political dissent. For example, in March 2003, anti-war protestors were prevented from protesting outside RAF Fairford and were sent back to London under heavy police escort (BBC, 2013). Furthermore, in June 2013, documents leaked by Edward Snowden revealed that GCHQ had been spying on the British public (Amnesty International UK, 2020). This practice of mass surveillance has since been formalised under the Investigatory Powers Act 2016, which gave 48 state authorities, including GCHQ, the power to access the general public’s internet connection records without a warrant.

Alongside this general erosion of civil liberties, the UK government has also begun implementing special measures targeting specific suspect communities, most notably British Muslims. Introduced in 2011, the Prevent programme has since faced considerable criticism for its “negative and discriminatory effects on Muslim communities” (Nezirevic, 2022). Most notably, Prevent has been found to be inherently Islamophobic, contributing to the marginalisation of the Muslim community, which only increases the risk of radicalisation (Holmwood & Aitlhadj, 2022). Despite specifically targeting Muslim communities, the Prevent programme still failed to stop Salman Abedi from committing the 2017 Manchester Arena Bombing (Perraudin, 2017). Therefore, much like the Rowlatt Act of 1919, modern UK government policy has proven ineffective in addressing terrorism, in many ways exacerbating the very conditions that lead to radicalisation.

In summary, social policy firmly places religion, particularly Islam, at the heart of modern terrorism. This, in turn, has fuelled moral panic, allowing governments to implement increasingly authoritarian laws that cut back on individual liberty. In doing so, governments have contributed to the very same socio-economic conditions that allow for the radicalisation of individuals.


Perspectives from Politics

Since the War on Terror began, terrorism has become an increasingly popular area of research in political science, particularly where its subdisciplines of international relations, security studies and strategic studies are concerned. Consequently, numerous studies have been conducted on the causes of terrorism. Overall, political science recognises three main categories of factors that cause or exacerbate modern terrorism: ideological factors, socio-economic factors, and psychological factors (Wojciechowski, 2017).

Terrorists identify with ideologies centred around ideas regarding politics, ethnicity, and religion. Broadly speaking, terrorists fall into two categories: nationalists and ideologists (Segaller, 1987). Nationalists are radicalised by perceived national injustices and supported by their communities, utilising violent means where peaceful means have proven ineffective. For example, the IRA sought to free Ireland from British colonial rule. Meanwhile, ideologists hold distinctly minority views and are often ostracised from their communities. For example, ISIS follows a very extreme interpretation of Islam that is rejected by the vast majority of Muslims.

For terrorism to thrive, it requires socio-economic conditions that generate and intensify radical attitudes. While experts disagree on the importance of specific socio-economic conditions, globalisation stands out as a critical factor underpinning modern terrorism. Globalisation threatens local communities’ societal norms and economic position, leading to intercultural conflict, particularly in the global ‘south’ (Stevens, 2002). In addition, globalisation has brought into stark focus the development disparity between the rich global ‘north’ and the poor global ‘south’. As it stands, less-developed states experience the greatest threat from terrorist activity (Institute for Economics & Peace, 2022). Furthermore, terrorist organisations rely on financial backing from various international sources, from individual donors to foreign regimes. For example, the Afghan Taliban relies on donations from sympathisers abroad and the opium trade to fund its activities (Clarke, 2015). I will elaborate on the financial aspect of terrorism in the economics section of this essay.

People at risk of being radicalised by terrorist groups exhibit certain psychological processes such as hatred, prejudice, injustice, and trauma, among others. This is evidenced by the fact that many terrorists follow some variation of the ‘us versus them’ mentality. For example, Brenton Tarrant was influenced by anti-Muslim sentiment and white supremacy, leading him to commit the 2019 Christchurch Mosque Shootings (Ehsan & Stott, 2020). Another commonality amongst terrorist groups is the idea that everything, including one’s life, comes second to ‘the cause’. As a result, terrorists willingly assume responsibility for and engage in violently destructive activities (Horgan, 2003).

Given its vast range of causal factors, political scientists have advocated for different solutions to address terrorism, depending on their ontological and epistemological positions. The most popular position is that of the realists who call for direct military intervention in countries facing terrorist threats. For instance, following the September 11th Attacks, the USA launched its War on Terror, increasing its global military presence, particularly in the Middle East. As of 2021, the USA controls around 750 overseas military bases (Vine, 2021). Despite eliminating high-value targets like Osama Bin Laden, the USA’s War on Terror is often considered a strategic failure. During the Arab Spring, the USA failed to protect its strategic allies, such as Ali Abdullah Saleh, who was deposed in 2012 (Riedel, 2017). After the USA’s withdrawal in late 2021, the Taliban effectively took over Afghanistan, demonstrating how twenty years of military intervention proved ineffective at addressing terrorism (Center for Preventive Action, 2022). Not to mention the 387,072 civilian deaths caused by the USA’s post-9/11 wars in Iraq, Afghanistan, Yemen, Syria, and Pakistan (Watson Institute, 2021). As a result of this fervent interventionism, many countries belonging to the global ‘south’ view the USA and its allies with suspicion (Simon & Stevenson, 2015).

In response to the War on Terror’s strategic failure, post-modernists have begun to question how society perceives terrorism. As academics have increasingly highlighted, western media outlets consistently associate terrorism with Islam and Muslims (Scrivens, 2018). Atrocities committed by Islamist extremists receive six times more coverage and are nine times more likely to be associated with the term ‘terrorism’ than those committed by far-right extremists despite using similar methods of violence (Hanif, 2020). This failure to frame far-right extremism as terrorism is reflected in the lack of adequate policy measures to address it. Furthermore, associating Islam with terrorism has prompted anti-Muslim sentiment worldwide, fuelling justification for state-sponsored aggression towards Muslim minorities (Werleman, 2021). This only further marginalises Muslim populations, creating the socio-economic conditions that precipitate terrorist activity. Therefore, post-modernists assert that the way the international community currently frames terrorism is detrimental to the process of solving it.

To summarise, political science asserts that terrorism results from various ideological, socio-economic, and psychological factors. Following the failure of the USA’s War on Terror, the mainstream realist advocacy for direct military intervention has been increasingly questioned, prompting post-modernists to call for a revaluation of terrorism discourse.


Perspectives from Economics

In economics, terrorism is primarily studied from a utility perspective, analysing the rational choices of terrorist organisations. Hence, economists make no distinction between terrorists and other criminals. Therefore, to understand the root cause of terrorism, one must familiarise themselves with the economic theory of crime.

Initially conceived by Jeremy Bentham in 1789, the economic theory of crime was later formalised by Gary Becker in 1968. According to Bentham, “the profit of the crime urges a man to delinquency: the pain of punishment is the force employed to restrain him from it”. Furthermore, “if the first of these forces be the greater, the crime will be committed; if the second, the crime will not be committed” (Bentham, 1789, p. 399). Similarly, in Becker’s model, criminal acts are preferred when the expected benefits of a crime exceed its expected costs, including the costs of any foregone legal alternatives (Becker, 1968). Thus, criminals are presented as rational utility maximisers. In the case of terrorism, this is no different: terrorists aim to maximise their utility. For instance, the Taliban still exported opium to the USA despite fighting a war against them, as it was the course of action that maximised their utility (Clarke, 2015). 

One of the main conclusions drawn from the economic theory of crime is the idea that poverty breeds crime. According to the theory, criminals wish to engage in criminal activities that provide a benefit exceeding the benefit they would receive engaging in legal activities (Becker, 1968). Therefore, the lower an individual’s legal income, the more likely they are to engage in crime or terrorism. This is clearly reflected in the fact that less-developed, low-income countries experience greater levels of terrorist activity (Institute for Economics & Peace, 2022). Furthermore, during the onset of the 2007-2008 Financial crisis, the number of terrorist attacks worldwide reached an all-time high of 14,414 (Statista Research Department, 2023). Given this, economists generally believe that the solution to terrorism – as with all things – lies in economic growth. However, economists disagree on how to bring about said economic growth and are broadly divided into two schools of economic philosophy: Keynesian economics and laissez-faire economics.

Named after its founder John Keynes, the Keynesian school of economics asserts that a healthy economy is the result of private sector and government help. Therefore, it falls to governments to implement the appropriate monetary and fiscal policies to maintain high aggregate demand, avoiding unemployment and economic recessions (The Investopedia Team, 2022). According to Keynes, an economy’s output is the sum of consumption, investment, government expenditure, and net exports. Therefore, any increase in one of these components leads to an increase in output, leading to an increase in aggregate demand. In addition, Keynesian economic models also include a multiplier effect, so any change in output is a multiple of the increase or decrease in spending that caused the change (Jahan, et al., 2014). Keynesian economists typically advocate for higher social spending, lower taxes, and lower interest rates during economic recessions and the opposite during economic booms (The Investopedia Team, 2022).

On the other hand, the laissez-faire school of economics rejects government intervention, preferring to let the free market naturally regulate itself. Laissez-faire economists believe economic competition constitutes a natural order, the best type of economic regulation (The Investopedia Team, 2022). Take, for example, the theory of comparative advantage, which refers to a country’s ability to produce goods and services at a lower opportunity cost than its trade partners. In a global free market economy, every country would be forced to specialise in whichever industry they have a comparative advantage and trade in whichever industry they lack a comparative advantage. In theory, doing so would increase global productivity and economic growth (The Economist, 1998). As a result, laissez-faire economists are typically against minimum wages, trade restrictions, and corporate taxes, viewing them as penalties on production. Therefore, governments should only intervene to preserve property, life, and individual freedom, allowing ‘the invisible hand’ to proceed unhindered (The Investopedia Team, 2022).

In summary, economics solely recognises poverty as the driving force behind terrorism and other crimes. Therefore, the solution to terrorism lies in increased economic growth that alleviates poverty, thereby removing the incentive to engage in criminal activity. Laissez-faire economic policies have classically led to meagre wages, unsafe working conditions, significant wealth gaps and other socio-economic conditions that breed crime and terrorism. Meanwhile, Keynesian economists seek to solve terrorism by addressing market inequalities and reducing the economic marginalisation that pushes individuals to commit acts of terror.


Conclusion

In conclusion, interdisciplinarity is the most appropriate method for addressing any multifaceted global issue, such as terrorism, given its inherent appreciation for different disciplinary viewpoints. As far as social policy, politics, and economics are concerned, each discipline recognises different causes and solutions to the problem of terrorism. Therefore, it falls to interdisciplinarity to synthesise these various viewpoints to devise a viable solution to terrorism.

To devise a solution, we must first understand the causes of terrorism. Of the three disciplines examined in this essay, politics has the broadest range of factors contributing to the issue of terrorism: ideological factors, socio-economic factors, and psychological factors. Meanwhile, social policy and economics place more emphasis on religious extremism (an ideological factor) and poverty (a socio-economic factor), respectively. Regardless, all three disciplines recognise social and economic marginalisation as a critical factor behind radicalisation. Therefore, any attempt to solve terrorism must address the factors contributing to marginalisation.

As discussed in social policy, UK government policy has contributed to the social marginalisation of the Muslim community. Similarly, on a wider scale, the western media often demonises Muslims as the sole perpetrators of terrorist activity. Therefore, as highlighted in politics, there is a desperate need to change the way terrorism and Islam are framed as social discourses. To do this, I would recommend that media outlets begin reporting more fairly on terrorist activities committed by non-Muslim groups such as the far-right. Furthermore, media outlets should also portray Muslims in a more positive light to counteract the decades of negative stereotypes which have fuelled anti-Muslim sentiment. In addition, economics has highlighted a need for reduced wealth inequality and increased economic growth to deter terrorism. To achieve this, I suggest governments invest more money into communities at risk of radicalisation.

Overall, using an interdisciplinary approach has proven to be both a challenging and informative experience. While it has equipped me with a broad range of knowledge, I do not feel I am particularly well-versed in any one of the disciplines studied in this essay. Furthermore, the time constraints of this particular project meant that I could not devise a fully-fledged solution to the problem of terrorism. I am sure I could devise a much better solution if I had more time and resources. Thus, my experience with interdisciplinarity reflects the primary issue associated with the approach: ‘breadth-over-depth’.


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Mass Surveillance and the Erosion of Our Civil Liberties: Why You Should Be Concerned

The Government Communications Headquarters (GCHQ) uses powerful computer systems, such as Tempora, to spy on the British public.

Big Brother is watching you.

George Orwell
Nineteen Eighty-Four

In 1785, Jeremy Bentham, the founder of modern utilitarianism, designed a prison where a single guard could observe all the prisoners without them knowing, compelling them to regulate their behaviour out of fear of being watched. In effect, the prisoners could be controlled without having to lift a finger, power firmly in the hands of that single guard. The prison came to be known as the Panopticon, and since 1785, not a single one has been constructed. However, with the power of mass surveillance, Britain is becoming a nationwide Panopticon where citizens are the prisoners and the state their all-powerful guard.

If the documents leaked by Edward Snowden back in June 2013 taught us anything, it’s that not everything is as it appears to be on the surface. The state may appear to be a neutral actor, allowing us to get on with our lives without interference. However, as the documents have shown us, computer systems capable of intercepting and storing large amounts of our personal data have been utilised by the Government Communications Headquarters (GCHQ) to spy on the British public without our consent (Amnesty International, 2020). Worse still, our data is being shared with the US, giving Uncle Sam a direct view into our private lives.

Mass surveillance is no longer bound to the pages of science fiction; it has become the reality of the world we live in. The question is: how did we get here?

After 9/11, the US used its global hegemony to launch an international War on Terror. As President Bush put it to the world: “Either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists.” From then on, governments the world over introduced new measures that curbed our freedoms in the name of national security. And we, in our grief and fear, accepted these new measures, believing it to be common sense, blind to the fact our hard-fought civil liberties were being stolen before our very eyes.

No government would go further to support the US in its endeavour to murder nearly 400,000 non-combatants than Tony Blair’s (Watson Institute, 2021). Throughout his government, laws were introduced that severely impeded our civil liberties, including giving police the power to stop and search without reasonable suspicion (Terrorism Act 2000) and arrest and detain without charge for up to 28 days (Terrorism Act 2006). As you can imagine, these powers were virulently abused by police, particularly when it came to shutting down political dissent.

In March 2003, anti-war protesters were prevented from reaching RAF Fairford, a British military base used by American bombers during the Invasion of Iraq. They were sent back to London under heavy police escort, violating their right to protest (BBC, 2013). Or take the case of Walter Wolfgang, a Jewish refugee who fled Nazi Germany in the lead-up to WWII. In September 2005, he was kicked out of a Labour conference by police after calling Jack Straw’s policy on Iraq “nonsense” (Busby, 2019). These incidents of abuse prove the police are nothing more than the coercive arm of the state.

But perhaps none of Blair’s enactments was quite as Orwellian as the Identity Cards Act 2006, requiring citizens to register for an identity card linked to a national database. The National Identity Register (NIR) stored detailed information regarding each citizen throughout their lives with plans to include even more in the future. This information would make it easier for the state to single out anyone who disagreed with its policies, bringing us all one step closer to living under an authoritarian regime. The intention was to make it compulsory to enter your details into the NIR when you apply for a new passport. Luckily, the scheme was scrapped, and the NIR was destroyed under the 2010 coalition government before this could happen.

Thanks to agitation from various human rights groups, subsequent governments continued to repeal or amend some of the provisions introduced under Blair. That being said, it would be naive to assume the days of mass surveillance are behind us.

As it stands, the Investigatory Powers Act 2016 gives the government unprecedented power to spy on the British population. A total of 48 state authorities, including GCHQ, have the power to access our internet connection records without a warrant. And with tech companies willing to sell our data to the state and private firms around the world, there is nowhere left on Earth where we can be safe from the prying eyes of the political and economic elite.

But surely there’s no need to worry if we have nothing to hide? After all, these measures are designed to catch terrorists, not spy on innocent civilians.

The problem isn’t about whether we have something to hide; it’s about what can be done with our data once it’s in the hands of the state. As the Facebook-Cambridge Analytica Data Scandal demonstrated, tech companies have already harvested our data and used it to shape our preferences, influencing our response to key political events in favour of the global elite. If private firms are doing this, then it’s highly likely that state apparatus, such as GCHQ with its advanced surveillance technology, is being utilised by the political elite to do the same. Surveillance is simply another means to maintain power via the manufactured consent of the public.

So, what can we do about it?

While it may seem too late to stem the tide of mass surveillance, organisations such as Amnesty International have already been fighting on our behalf. Earlier this year, the European Court of Human Rights ruled that the UK’s surveillance capabilities violated our human rights to privacy and freedom of expression (Amnesty International, 2021). The ruling was a huge step towards getting this issue on the world stage, and now it falls to us to see our governments held accountable lest we find ourselves living in the world described in George Orwell’s Nineteen Eighty-Four. If we keep the pressure on and continue to petition our government to cease its invasion of our private lives, I’m confident that one day, we will see the abolishment of mass surveillance altogether.


Amnesty International, 2020. Why we’re taking the UK government to court over mass spying, London: Amnesty International.

Amnesty International, 2021. UK: Europe’s top court rules UK mass surveillance regime violated human rights, London: Amnesty International.

BBC, 2013. RAF Fairford protesters win legal battle against police, London: BBC.

Busby, M., 2019. Walter Wolfgang, antiwar activist and Jack Straw heckler, dies aged 95, London: The Guardian.

Watson Institute, 2021. Costs of War – Civilians Killed & Wounded. [Online] Available at: https://watson.brown.edu/costsofwar/costs/human/civilians [Accessed 18 January 2023].